Lead · Industry Impact
Per-token cost fell 280-fold, but a reasoning model burns tens of times more tokens per answer — AI got cheaper and more expensive at the same time. Both are true.
Dmitri Volkov
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August 15, 2026
Over the past few years, the AI industry's capital expenditure narrative has centered almost entirely on one picture: labs pouring billions of dollars into building bigger training clusters, stuffing more compute and more data into models, trading that for the next generation's capability gains. But as reasoning models have risen, that picture is being rewritten — the capital expenditure line...